Forecast: Gen AI Spending to Reach $644B by 2025 – Implications for IT Leaders
Discover the latest trends in generative AI spending and technology with Gartner’s new forecast for 2025. Hardware dominates, with insights on why many internal projects fail.
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In 2025, the landscape of generative AI is seeing significant financial investment, with projections indicating global spending reaching $644 billion, a substantial 76.4% increase from the previous year. This growth aligns with other industry reports showcasing the rising adoption and expenditure on generative AI. Research from AI at Wharton reveals a 130% increase in spending, while Deloitte reports that 74% of enterprises have met or exceeded their gen AI goals.
Where is all this money going, and where can enterprises anticipate the most value? According to Gartner’s analysis, hardware will dominate gen AI spending, accounting for a staggering 80% in 2025. The breakdown includes $398.3 billion for devices, $180.6 billion for servers, $37.2 billion for software, and $27.8 billion for services. This shift towards hardware surprises many, with John Lovelock from Gartner noting that manufacturers are driving the market rather than consumer demand.
Hardware’s Dominance in Enterprise AI:
- Hardware continues to dominate, with 80% of spending in 2025
- Ratios favor hardware over software in the long term
- Future gen AI functionalities will be embedded in software, affecting budgeting and planning
Despite the significant investment in generative AI, internal proof-of-concept (PoC) projects are facing challenges, leading to a decrease in expectations despite increased spending. The primary barriers to success in gen AI initiatives revolve around data inadequacy, resistance to change, and ROI shortfalls.
The PoC Graveyard: Why Internal Enterprise AI Projects Fail:
- Data inadequacy hinders effective training and implementation
- Resistance to change poses adoption challenges for users
- ROI shortfalls fail to justify implementation costs
Looking ahead, Gartner’s forecast suggests a strategic pivot towards commercial off-the-shelf solutions from ambitious internal projects. The shift comes as a response to the complexity and failure rates of custom-gen AI solutions, offering more predictable implementation and clearer ROI for enterprises.
The Strategic Pivot: From Internal Development to Commercial Solutions:
- Enterprises shifting towards commercial off-the-shelf gen AI solutions
- Custom solutions present challenges, driving the move towards commercial options
- Prioritize vendor solutions embedding gen AI capabilities into existing systems
In adapting to the evolving landscape of generative AI, enterprises need to reconsider their strategies. Instead of focusing on revolutionary initiatives, a more evolutionary approach that integrates commercial gen AI capabilities into existing workflows may yield better results. Aligning investments with organizational readiness, overcoming key failure factors, and leveraging embedded gen AI functionalities will be crucial in maximizing the value of this rapidly evolving technology.
Published on: 2025-03-31 20:57:00 | Author: Sean Michael Kerner
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